While the Republican rank and file still oppose outright

Campaign 2012 and sentencing issues

cheap moncler coats This Real Clear Politics article, headlined “Hopes Fade for Criminal Justice Reform This Year,” serves essentially as an obituary for the effort to get significant moncler sale statutory federal sentencing reform done before the end of the Obama Administration. Probably the most important component of the law is that it would make Moncler Outlet the Fair Sentencing Act, which lowered the mandatory minimums for crack cocaine related crimes to those of powder cocaine, retroactive. According to Families Against Mandatory Minimums (FAMM) this could help somewhere around 5,800 people currently serving sentences in federal prison. You can read FAMM’s analysis of what’s good and bad about the current incarnation of the Sentencing and Reform Act here. cheap moncler coats

So thousands of prisoners could be stuck serving outdated sentences for cocaine crimes that no longer even apply if this law is not passed. In response to frustration that the bill isn’t going anywhere there’s a chain of blaming that weaves throughout RealClearPoltics’ report:

moncler factory outlet Grassley merely says he’s “disappointed” because he worked hard to get more Republicans on board supporting the law. moncler factory outlet

cheap moncler Sen. Dick Durbin (D Ill.), who wrote the bill, blames Republicans, particularly Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell monlcer down jackets (R Ky.) for offering him “little to no hope” that the legislation would move forward. (He is undoubtedly also referring to conservatives like Arkansas Sen. Tom Cotton.) cheap moncler

Sen. John Corbyn (R Texas) blames the House of Representatives for not moving more quickly, which he said would have created “momentum” in the Senate for passing the law.

moncler jacket sale Sen. Orrin Hatch (R Utah) says the refusal to add reform to mens rea is holding back the legislation. “Mens rea” is the legal concept that convicting a person of a crime should cheap moncler sale require proving that they had criminal intent to do so. Not all federal laws have this mens rea requirement, and some https://www.moncleroutletssale.com Republicans want to add cheap moncler it. This has angered some Democrats and the Department of Justice because they believe it would make it harder to convict people (or more accurately, to force settlements) in white collar criminal cases or cases of corporate misconduct. moncler jacket sale

cheap moncler jackets Sen. There are concerns that it will be attached later on. cheap moncler jackets

cheap moncler outlet As the cheap moncler coats title of this post is meant to suggest, I think the main individual who should be blamed here is President Barack Obama, although lots of other blame can and should be spread around to all the folks who failed to fully appreciate that a series of small “smart on crime” bills would have been far superior and far more likely to become law than the mega reform bill that was too complicated with too many controversial parts to make passage ever likely. cheap moncler outlet

moncler outlet I will now likely use the long weekend (which I am about to start by going off line for a while) to reflect on the current federal buy moncler jackets sentencing reform “big picture” circa mid 2016. I also think this news provides an approrpriate opportunity to begin a series of commentary posts about criminal justice reform during the Obama era, which I will be calling “Missed Opportunities: The Failure of Prez Obama to bring real cheap moncler jackets Hope and Change to Federal Sentencing.” Stay tuned. moncler outlet

moncler outlet sale The title of this post is drawn from the headline of this notable recent commentary by Nate Cohn at The New Republic, which echoes some points that should be familiar to regular readers of this blog. Here are excerpts from the commentary: moncler outlet sale

moncler outlet uk Young voters might be pro Obama, but they even more pro marijuana. While 60 percent of 18 29 year moncler outlet store olds supported the president reelection, the CBS News and Quinnipiac polls, as well as the Washington and Colorado exit polls, show an impressive 65 70 percent of voters under age 30 supporting marijuana legalization. The rise of the millennial generation not persuasion of moncler mens jackets older voters is primarily responsible for marijuana’s growing strength in national polls, with 65 to 70 percent of seniors remaining opposed to marijuana legalization. With generational change already responsible for the GOP national struggles, the party could really use a break from cultural questions that pit its elderly base against millennials. moncler outlet uk

moncler jackets outlet Fortunately for Republicans, they actually have a rare opportunity here to seize the middle ground and appeal to younger voters. While the Republican rank and file still oppose outright marijuana legalization, the issue could fit within the party ostensible state rights philosophy. GOP voters seem to agree. CBS News found that 65 percent of Republicans support allowing state governments to determine the legality of marijuana, compared to just 29 percent who believed the federal government should decide. Rand Paul has already suggested moderation on marijuana legalization as a helpful step toward coping with generational change. moncler jackets outlet

moncler sale outlet But Republican advocates of marijuana moderation don have an easy task. Just because GOP voters might accept the state rights frame provided by a poll question doesn’t mean that the frame would prevail in a debate. The exit polls in Colorado and Washington, as well as recent Quinnipiac polls, suggest that about 65 70 percent of conservatives, white evangelical Christians, and Republicans are opposed to marijuana legalization. the Obama administration allowed Colorado and Washington to violate federal law, moderation might become even more difficult as conservative media launch a crusade against a lawless administration. moncler sale outlet

moncler outlet jackets If Republicans don’t seize the middle ground on marijuana legalization, Democrats will eventually use the issue to their advantage. Not only will Democratic primary voters demand moncler outlet online it, they will have a lot to gain. As more younger, pro marijuana voters enter the electorate and replace their elders, support for marijuana legalization will continue to increase, absent intervening events that reshape public opinion, like a disastrous ending to the experiments in Colorado and Washington. If marijuana becomes another partisan social issue, like gay marriage or abortion, it will make it even more difficult for Republicans to appeal to millennial voters. moncler outlet jackets

cheap moncler jackets sale Regular readers know I think these sentiments are spot on: way back in April 2012, I urged in posts and in a Daily Beast commentary that then candidate Mitt Romney should embrace “Right on Crime” rhetoric about the need for criminal justice reforms and stress a states rights approach to pot policy as a means to appeal to young voters. I further stressed something missing in Cohn discussion: the unique and important opportunity moncler outlet sale the GOP to use crminal justice reform in general (and pot policy in particular) to stress its pro liberty and small government themes in a manner that should be especially salient and menaingful to minority voters. cheap moncler jackets sale

I very much doubt that conservatives and evangelical Christians will cheap moncler outlet be too troubled by robust and honest GOP led about the real costs and benefits of pot prohibition. Meanwhile, I genuinely believe many minority voters (young and old, men and women) will be quite thrilled be supportive of and all leaders who, in that conversation, stress the considerable (and often disparate) harms to minority communities from low level arrests and criminal justice entanglements that can flow from potential selective enforcement of pot prohibition. In other words, if GOP leaders were to make a concern for racial justice an express feature of any effort to “seize the middle ground” respect to pot policy, might politically in a number of diverse ways.

moncler outlet store Taking these musing just a step further, I cannot help but (foolishly?) suggest that Romney might have actually won the November 2012 election if he had headed my criminal justice advice way back in April 2012. As highlighted in this Nate Silver number crunching post last month, Romney won every red state save one (North Carolina) by 8 or more percentage point. It is hard to believe Romney loses any of those states by “Right on Crime” rhetoric and stressing a states rights approach to pot policy. Meanwhile, Prez Obama eeked out razor thin victories in Florida, Ohio, Virginia, and Colorado, all of which are states in which a targeted states rights message on pot policy and criminal justice reform could have alone moved the needle a bit. And, even more important, any move to moncler outlet the center on criminal justice would have usefully suggested that Romney was an independent thinker who would not just rely on the tired old GOP playbook on social issues. moncler outlet store

moncler outlet online Gosh, it sure is fun and easy to be a pundit giving advice to the who lost I can now say “you should have just listened to me.” this could even get me a gig on FoxNews in place of Dick Morris moncler outlet online.